Dutton is unhinged - Literally nobody genuinely thinks this, page-121

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    "the divisive screech and squeal we get from Dutton.". ....... is all he is capable of offering it seems. I had hoped for better.......


    imo this marks the reason that Dud is a seat warmer until the Lib factions decide the Dud needs to go (before the election).

    tomorrow is the Cook by-election. if Dud can'; produce a swing toward the Libs the sharks will be circling and his political demise only a matter of time.

    according to Antony Green's excellent analysis of the seat, Morrison lost 8.2% in '22 but retained a margin with a 55.5% primary vote.

    This election, Simon Kennedy is not a local and won preselection over a woman who lives in the electorate. will this affect Kennedy's impact and support? men still being favoured over women in a safe seat.

    there are 2 viable alternative candidates with a "Libertarian" and an independent (both men) which should preference to Kennedy and no Labor candidate (after the '22 result when Labs had a primary of 25% its not a feasible expense to run a candidate in the by). so Kennedy should achieve a swing toward the Libs. if the swing doesn't occur this will reflect heavily against Dud.

 
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