IMO Dragonslayer's CAPEX is way off. According to an article (shared below), they're looking to raise another US$250m for stage 3. Stage 1 & 2 has cost up to US$50m to date (that's the way I interpret it below). It would make sense as $50m x 5 (2ktpa) is US$250m for the 10ktpa.
@Rob826's ~$50m was converted to AUD -- it is ~$35m USD.
By that rational it would be a 7 year payback period from nameplate (or the more realistic, 90% of nameplate). This scale of production can realistically be expected anywhere between 2028-2030. They won't be turning a profit until 2035-2037.
But I still maintain, it's not as cut and dry - there will be other factors I'm sure. And in valuing the company, things like further dilution must be taken into consideration which will have a massive effect (but impossible to work out atm).
IMO
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