Interesting about the discarded Israeli missile segment found in...

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    Interesting about the discarded Israeli missile segment found in Iraq. That might help explain why both Iran and Israel are silent.

    Any other report I've seen so far only mentions small drones. Maybe Israel tried to emulate Iran's multi-modal attack with drones and missiles, but it fell flat when all Israel's ballistic missiles were shot down by Iran. In such cases, Israel with its tail between its legs in shame, would be strongly motivated to keep silent. As for Iran - they are adults, and unlike Israel they are more interested in strategic gains than childish propaganda. Since they have consistently claimed to want to avoid escalation, it is plausible that they cast alleged (pretty implausible in my view) doubt on the identity of the perpetrators (a) to have an excuse not to have to respond, and (b) to minimise overall escalation. In such case keeping silent on having shot down the Israeli ballistic missiles, both Iran and Israel know the true score, that's a massive strategic victory for Iran compounding her earlier victory. If true, Iran successfully penetrated Israel's defences even with prior warnings and massive support from other countries, while Israel failed to penetrate Iran's defences at all (the small drones being regarded in this argument as mere decoys for the ballistic missiles and insignificant on their own). Iran also scored very significant international Brownie Points as adult in the room for remaining silent about shooting down the Israeli missiles to evade escalation - that's a beneficial boomerang that will come back to support Iran later when she needs to escalate.

    Posted by: BM | Apr 19 2024 15:15 utc


 
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