I found this lecture from 2015 very informative and insightful.
Watch "Why is Ukraine the West's Fault? Featuring John Mearsheimer" on YouTube
https://youtu.be/JrMiSQAGOS4
in short Putin was always going to 'wreck' Ukraine if it continued to try to westernise.
not condoning Putin or Russia, but so far this war seems more calculated and unlikely to escalate much further if this lecture can be believed.
WPL@$30, page-5306
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